Saturday, July 16, 2016

The Modi Doctrine


"Modiji Badalgaye....PM Modi has changed."  "We asked for a Putin, we got an Obama".....even some die hard Internet Hindus have voiced similar sentiments in recent days/weeks.  Pathankot, Wani aftermath, lunch with Sharif.....the list of transgressions seem (in RW eyes) to be endless.  With little to show in terms of tangible progress on the ground.

The growing frustration perhaps says as much about Hindus as it does about the larger problem facing India in Kashmir.  Whereas both Christian and Islamic forces have taken a millennial view to their rein, Hindus, despite their ancient origins tend to be more short sighted.  But I digress.

To even the most deft international players with a strong economy and military to boot, Kashmir and handling Islamic terror would be an uphill task.  Just ask President Obama or the French Hollande.

Here's a list of factors PM Modi has to consider before he makes any move:

1. FDI and International investor sentiment
2. India's own Islamic population and the terror cells it most certainly harbors
3. Lack of dependable domestic military hardware suppliers
4. Global governments controlled by liberal leaders from Germany to France and the United States
5. China
6. Need to prepare for a two-front war
7. Pakistan/China's 10 year head start achieved under UPA 1 & 2
8. India's internal 'Aman ki Asha' 5th column
9. International Islamic sentiment for their brethren in Kashmir
10. A divided Hindu family
11. The need to deliver key promises for 2019
12. Demographic changes making Hindus a minority in key regions of India
13. ........

Given these constraints PM Modi has had to tread a thin line.  He's clearly executing a well thought out plan (and if impatient Internet Hindus would give him a chance they could see it come to fruition in the years ahead).

Task #1:  Isolate Pakistan within the Islamic world

Task #2: Leverage threat posed by China to its neighbors to create a strong coalition to maintain status quo on India's eastern border

Task #3:  Build a strong domestic military supply chain so as to significantly reduce India's dependence on foreign governments and their own strategic imperatives

Task #4:  Rebuild India's shattered economy so as to attract foreign investments which in turn would help create a global constituency of pro-India business leaders - from Jeff Bezos to Warren Buffet

No doubt sight of young Indian soldiers being butchered by Jihadi bastards makes our collective blood boil.  But it is a price India will have to pay to sustain a long term and (god willing) a permanent solution to the Kashmir problem.

As explained here - Pakistan is screwed - http://inflextionpoint.blogspot.com/2015/06/pakistan-is-screwed-heres-why.html

There's no need to escalate a conflict with Pakistan (even a limited one) and bail Pakistan out.  

PM Modi's actions must be seen in the backdrop of these emerging variables.  By appearing to be 'friendly' and docile toward Pakistan, PM Modi is taking away Pakistan's biggest foreign policy leverage i.e. Portraying India as a regional bully 

Coupled with Pakistan's now well established credentials as a rogue terrorist nation, this docile attitude allows India to further hasten the process of de-hyphenation.

So my fellow RWingers calm down and support your PM.  He needs all the help he can get.  Trust him.




Tuesday, July 5, 2016

Countering Priyanka

Congress' first political obituary was written in 1971, but much like the cat with 9 lives, Congress and the Gandhi parivar seem to find a away to survive.

Priyanka's introduction to active politics as the face in UP is being touted by some as the party's last ditch effort and others as too little too late.

Most RWingers see her as political dead weight.  But much as the same crowd once overestimated Rahul, they are now underestimating PV.

In almost any political contest, countering a woman, particularly one with brand recognition and no direct taint is an uphill task.  With Congress viewing her as a do-or-die effort, BJP would be well advised to prepare a careful strategy.

That PV is a far better politician than her brother is a given.  The street corner paanwala is a better politician than her brother.

But PV is blessed with a key attribute.  She appears to be very patient.  Not prone to making wild statements, not prone to reacting to every event.

Her carefully cultivated image of a loyal sister, daughter and wife will be difficult to dislodge.

So how should the BJP counter Priyanka.

1. Define her early and reinforce the image
For starters BJP members, leaders and spokespersons must start referring to her as Priyanka Vadra and not Priyanka Gandhi.  This subtle change will reinforce her image as part of the most corrupt family in India.  Every Vadra scam should be pinned on her.  Not by direct proclamation (more on this later) but through an indirect mode.

2.  Do not attack her directly.  It will only open space her to play the female victim card.  Much as a mother as a selfless widow was able to hood wink India, PV could play the 'wronged' wife card to gain sympathy

3. Pit Smriti Irani and other BJP women leaders against her.  Ms. Irani is age appropriate and has the skill set to match PV.  More importantly she draws a stark contrast between a self made woman and a dynast.

4. Use non-BJP actors on social media and other entities to bring into question Vadra's family history.  The death of multiple Vadra family members due to unnatural causes should be a talking point across media channels.

5. Define PV's appointment as face failure of the collective Congress party.  Make her the symbol of failure and not of a new hope

6. Make this a AAP Vs. PV contest.  This way AAP becomes  contender against Congress and Congress' profile is lowered to that of a small regional party

7.  DO NOT CALL Priyanka a housewife or mock her in any personal way.  There's plenty of ammunition to go after her politically.


.....To be continued