Sunday, November 18, 2012

In Defense of Balasaheb Thackeray

As tributes flood news wires, Pink Chaddis predictably are getting their….well….Pink Chaddis in a twist. So let us educate them and set the record straight.

But before we get into the details allow me to narrate an amusing personal anecdote. A catholic (needless to say rabidly anti-Sena) friend once scolded me. A muslim neighbor had slaughtered a goat for Bakri id in his building’s backyard, a few feet from my friend’s doorstep. His exact statement was “What the fuck is your Thackeray doing. Why can’t he stop this nonsense”? I stood there dumbfounded. My only response was “When was the last time you or your family voted for Shiv Sena?”

What this incident illustrated was a schizophrenic relationship Mumbai’s Pink Chaddis had with the Sena. In private, Sena and its ‘goons’ were “those fucking Ghatis” ruining cosmopolitan BOMbay. But in deep recesses of their collective consciousness, when fear of marauding herds of Mullahs distilled their minds of any semblance of political correctness, they called out in pain to the one man they knew could help them. The one man whose aforementioned Ghatis had the courage (some may say foolishness) to place life and limb on the line to defend that liberal Indian culture called Hinduism.

Balasaheb was ‘Parochial’

No Indian politician can be considered devoid of his/her regional bias. Balasaheb was no exception. This phenomenon can be witnessed across the world. Example: Catalonia in Spain is witnessing a secessionist firestorm thanks to a stagnant economy. Closer to home, the anti-Hindi agitation in Tamil Nadu was supported by every single Tamilian politician cutting across party lines. This agitation had nothing to do with economic drivers. No one can diminish a great language like Tamil. But how easy it was (and still is) to rile up Indians based on regional sentiments.

That however, does not justify the violent methods adopted by Balasaheb first against south Indians and then against other non-Marathis.

Strong regional identities give birth to parochial politics. Why then should we single out Balasaheb. He was doing nothing different.

Balasaheb hurt Hindu ‘Unity’

Those who suggest that Saheb hurt Hindu unity must first acknowledge that the term ‘Hindu Unity’ is itself an oxymoron. India’s enslavement is a direct result of the endemic disunity that has been its bane since before the arrival of Muslim invaders.

Now that we have established Balasaheb as being no different from most other regional leaders vis-à-vis parochial regional politics, here’s why he remains Hindu Hriday Samarat.

1. Sacrifice the Marathi Cause for the larger Hindu Cause

a. When a rising Hindu Backlash presented a strong opportunity to usher in the first Hindu government in Delhi and Mumbai, Balasaheb sacrificed his son-of-the-soil, bread and butter issue in the interest of the larger Hindu Ummah. Has any other politician ever taken such a huge risk. No doubt, he left a flank open for a competitor to stake claim to the Marathi manoos vote bank, but in the interest of the much parroted but seldom practiced Hindu unity Saheb stepped up and embraced the transition.

b. Cynics may argue that the Marathi Manoos plank was a dead horse. In that case Raj Thackeray’s MNS should have been a non-starter. The Marathi manoos plank was and is, alive and Kicking, but Saheb choose Hindutva

2. Balasaheb as Robin hood

a. From combating rising milk prices by raiding Milk vans and distributing the spoils to poor Maharastrian families to helping educate kids from less fortunate, stories of Sena coming to the aid of the embattled common man are now legend. But what surprised even a politically informed person like me was the yeoman’s service rendered by Balasaheb to Kashmiri Pandits. Saheb had no skin in the game. KPs were a small, electorally insignificant community, concentrated in North India, where the Sena had little or no presence. Yet he helped them. He helped them by reserving seats Maharashtra’s educational institutions for Kashmiri Pandits. And THIS man was parochial. THIS man hurt Hindu unity. More importantly, neither he nor his party ever beat their breasts claiming these good deeds. That was the class of the man.

3. Bulwark against rising tide of Islamism

a. The past 5 years have witnessed a rising tide of Islamic aggression across India. From UP to now Hyderabad, a new Khilaphat movement is underway. Events of August 11 were a curtain raiser.

b. For years Balasaheb was the only real threat to these armies of darkness. Without him Hindus would have become a mere statistic

c. It is easy for armchair pundits (me included) to pontificate on the virtues of political correctness. But when the rubber meets the road, when a mullah is threatening to take your daughter (as a Christian Mala Sinha who went to Saheb to save her daughter from Music director Nadeem’s love Jihad) or impose Sharia on a innately liberal Hindu society, there are only two outcomes. Fight or Flight. Saheb and his ‘Ghatis’ stood their ground and fought. In the process they saved us from a Muslim Mumbai/Maharashtra.

Next time an Owaisi or Azam comes knocking on their doors, Hindus and Pink Chaddis will beg for a 1000 more Balasahebs to be reborn.


Friday, November 9, 2012

All-in with NaMo-for-PM


NaMo must go All-in

I have been vacilating between the following 2 scenarios:

1.       Should NaMo not put his face on BJP's 2014 battle for Delhi and throw his hat in the ring only if BJP secures 180-200 seats

OR
2. Go all-in and become BJP's face for Delhi from the get go
 

Increasingly, I’m leaning toward scenario #2 with a few caveats.

Here are the reasons:

a)      If we go with scenario #1, BJP may still risk muslim consolidation but not benefit from a counter Hindu-consolidation and end up losing the election.  In this scenario if BJP wins less than 170 seats, NaMo will be blamed and that blame will be used to curtail any future attempts.  Much as his 2009 LS campaign results are held against him - though he was just a campaigner and not the PM candidate - so will results of 2014 be used to hold him back.

b)      NaMo as PM Candidate needs time to percolate to a wider voter base.  Currently urban and semi-urban cities and towns have heard and imbibed the Modi-Miracle but rural populations may have remained relatively untouched.  NaMo-for-PM will need to reach these voters to help create a critical mass of voters to reach the magic figure of 200 seats

c)       NaMo-for-PM will turn into a war cry on both sides of the political divide.  Sangh’s strong ground game will allow BJP to harness this consolidation far better than CONgress or other secular parties

d)      There is a danger of pseudo secular parties joining forces:  Laloo-SP-CONgress-JDU alliance would seem unsurmountable.  But such a consolidation will work in NaMo’s favor.  Corruption will come to be equated with pseudosecularism with NaMo as the sole torch bearer of clean, efficient, politics of development.

Time will reveal efficacy of the best strategy.  For now NaMo-for-PM appears to be the best bet. 

Sangh and Nitin Gadkari


The Sangh’s Point-of-View

 

Over the past few months a persistent hum has developed across social and mainstream media.  The basic theme revolves around how the Sangh wants NitinG as President because he belongs to their ethnic stock i.e. Maharastrian Brahmin.

To understand why this line of thinking is flawed we need to examine the not-so-distant history that has shaped the Sangh’s impulses.

Dial back to the late 90s and early 2000s.  BJP had securely ensconced itself in the corridors of power.  Not only in Delhi but also several state capitals.  A truly non-CONgress political entity has begun the process of creating a permanent space for itself in the opposition ranks.

There is no disputing that Sangh and its sister organizations played a central role in bringing this long cherished dream to fruition.  Thousands of Swayam Sevaks sacrificed their lives in the service of their motherland to turn a once fringe political party with merely 2 seats on the throne of Delhi.

Not since Maharaja Rana Pratap had a truly Hindu outfit ruled Delhi.  This was an epochal achievement.

Back in 2004 on a trip back home just prior to the LS elections, I happened to speak to a lifelong sympathizer of the Sangh.  She was in a foul mood vis-à-vis ABV’s NDA government.  The discussion was initiated by me regarding the growing corruption within ranks of the BJP and how it was touching the Sangh.

Her response:  “So why shouldn’t the poor sangh cadres make a little money.  Aren’t they the ones who have installed these jokers in power?  Why these Johnnies-come-lately, alone enjoy the spoils of power”.  The response shocked me.  That such thinking was being articulated was a new phenomenon.

Upon digging further, the true picture emerged.  As had happened with the CONgress, post-independence (with families and relatives of some freedom fighters making a small fortune thanks to their proximity to power), so were some BJP leaders filling their coffers with their families prospering beyond imagination.

The Mahajans and Anant Kumars were climbing on shoulders of ordinary Sangh workers to acquire all the trappings of power.  From plush writing instruments to designer wear to all expenses paid junkets to exotic, unheard of tourist destinations, the stories were becoming legend.

Why should real workers suffer when these good-for-nothing leaders were violating every Hindutva tenet to destroy the core value system that made BJP – the party with a difference.

Note:  On a side note, one reason why NaMo is so liked and admired by the Sangh cadre is because he fulfills every promise the RJB revolution had promised without compromising on any core principles.

Post 2009, RSS came to a simple conclusion:  D4 in active collusion with the Dynasty had destroyed BJP’s chances.  Only a puppet as BJP president would do the trick.  And who better than one of their own.  A karyakarta they knew inside out.  A karyakarta who would never violate any order from Nagpur.

In conclusion, it is not NitinG’s ethnicity that has catapulted him to the President’s chair, but his perceived MMS like quality of being compliant and obedient.

Clearly this experiment has failed.  The Sangh needs to focus on much larger goals.  And there are many.  Cleaning up the Ganga, creating a parallel education and health care system across India which would rival systems run by religions of peace and harmony.

Thursday, November 8, 2012

Next 24 Months

The Next 24 months.

December 20th is shaping out to be the second biggest date in history of Independent India.  The widespread fear across India’s political spectrum is that once the smart, industrious Gujarati reelects NaMo as CM with an even bigger mandate, there will be no looking back.

Political momentum does not occur in a vacuum and once acquired there’s no guarantee that it can be sustained.  However, the NaMo juggernaut has been building for several years now.  Like a silent tsunami it threatens the evil edifice that CONgress represents.

December 20th promises to finally unleash this revolution at an all India level.  Most importantly, it promises to weave together the plethora of Anti-CONgress, anti-Corruption threads into a single impregnable torrent with NaMo as its only, all powerful sootradhar.

Note:  CONgress with help from a pliant media will try to turn a NaMo led campaign into a Anti-Corruption Vs. Anti-communalism contest.  It wont work.  2014 will be fought on a single issue: Corruption.  With development being its natural sidekick.

Let us look at all the primary players and why their chances are best a self-delusion:

1.       Arvind Kejriwal

a.       Great creditials but no real organization to win even a handful of seats

2.       Nitish Kumar

a.       Could aspire to lead the 3rd front, but if another satrap like Mamta or Maya or Jaya wins a similar pool of seats, BJP may support her to keep him out

3.       Jaya

a.       Anti-incumbency seems to be catching up, but DMK ‘s trouble are fresh in public memory and 35 seats could be a real possibility

b.      BJP infighting may enable her to become the preferred compromise candidate

4.       Maya

a.       Dalit-as-PM will be hard to resist if BJP gets less than 150 seats

b.      Even CONgress may not be averse to outside support as long as she extends the same keep-CBI-at-bay courtesy to the first family

c.    But backlash from non-dalits may hurt her chances.  Given that anti-corruption will be the single most important issue, her track record will hurt her chances
 

5.       Mamta

a.       Mamta is a wild, volatile card.  Fellow politicans detest unpredictable behavior (Ex: BalT, KalyanS).  Despite winning 30 seats, Mamta would be the least acceptable 3rd front candidate as PM

6.       Sharad Pawar

a.       Even Sena/MNS would find it hard not to support SharadP if he can win 30 seats (a tall order in Maharastra).  Needless to say SharadP would have to part with vast reserves of his wealth to acquire his supporters

b.      Given his former title as the King of Corruption, supporting him would mean certain (short term) political death for the likes of Mamta/Jaya/Naveen.  He cannot win Delhi with support from the Marathi Manoos alone.  Chances are dim.

7.       Mulayam

a.       Mulayam can certainly bank on the Muslim vote, but the spotlight will expose massive degree of corruption his regime has/is perpetrating on UP

b.      A Yadav-as-PM may even help bring support from Laloo in Bihar but this support will be neutralized with other castes aligning against him

8.       Rahul Gandhi

a.       Eh…..case closed

9.       Sonia stooge

a.       A clean, submissive, pliant replacement to ManMohan is hard to find

b.      Intelligence seldom accompanies subservience.  MMS is a league all his own

c.       Dynasty will prefer NaMo as PM instead of risking deploying another Narsimha Rao

That brings us to NaMo

a.       As you have notice all the aspirants listed above are leaders with their own mass basses

b.      2014 would be a clear choice between voters who view corruption as the greatest menace and those viewing ‘communalism’ as the biggest threat to the future of India

c.       In the absence of any major riots in the past 5 years, threat of communalism has begun to recede in minds of the average non-muslim Indian voter

d.      Even the muslim voter will only vote against BJP so as to keep NaMo out, rather than out of any real fear of riots

e.      An agitated polity is looking for the following traits in its leader

                                                               i.      A proven track record of delivering a modicum of development

                                                             ii.      A squeaky clean record on corruption

1.       MMS offered this quality and voters were willing to forgive his passivity but that wont cut it in 2014

2.       Both personal integrity and the will to impose exacting standards of integrity across government bodies will be a fundamental prerequisite

                                                            iii.      Ability to manage inflation

                                                           iv.      Proven ability to fight corruption

                                                             v.      A record of preventing communal conflagration without pandering to vote bank politics

The NaMo Momentum – or shall we call it the NaMomentum, helps explain almost every significant political/media machination of the past 12 – 18 months.  Once the Godhra missile proved to be a damb squib,  NaMomentum was recognized and accepted by all aspirants to Delhi’s throne and has subconsciously taken political center stage.  Though India media will keep denying it and political ‘analysts’ will cite fringe factors to buttress NaMo’s unviability as PM candidate, everyone has accepted that there’s no other alternative. 

From NitishK’s adhikar yatra to Sonia’s reshuffle to the targeting of NitinG, every move is being conducted with the looming fear of a NaMo PMship.

NaMo gains nothing by dislodging a NitinG.  Its simply too early.  Infact, having a lame duck BJP president suits him just fine.  Much as the country has come to see him as the lord and savior so to will the Sangh and its proxies within the BJP.  The longer NitinG occupies the seat the better for NaMo.

The same cannot be said about D4.  Their only chance is to install themselves or one of their own as the next BJP President this December.

Clearly this stratgem will not suffice. But they are left with few options.  Much as NitishK is desperately trying to usurp Bihari Asmita so as to capture 30+ seats in Bihar, so too is D4 trying to counter BJP before NaMomentum pushes the throne of Delhi well beyond their reach.

Dream on suckers, NaMomentum is now unsurmountable.