CPEC, Uighurs and Rohingas - What do they have in Common - The New Great (Muslim) Wall of China

For months now several strands culminating in and around Kashmir have baffled yours truly.  Something things dont add up. 

1. Rohingas being settled in all places J&K
2. China's takeover of Pakistan aka CPEC
3. The massive, draconian crackdown of Uighurs across Xin Jiang

CPEC is a money pit.  None of the players involved will find a way to recover the large sums being 'invested' in the hell hole that is Pakistan. Clearly China has ulterior motives.  Motives which have been exposed by Pakistan's leading daily 'Dawn' earlier this month.

(Please refer to previous posts on this blog for details on CPEC's implications).

Contrast China's love for rabidly islamic Pakistan with how they treat their own Muslim minority.  Uighurs are now a minority in their own state.  And this trend is only accelerating.  China has left no stone unturned to a) change demographics of this once Muslim majority region and b) dilute (if not erase) the muslim identity of Uighurs.

But what explains the incomprehensible attempts to settle Rohingas from Burma in J&K (if latest reports are to be believed) very close to the border with Pakistan?  Who is permitting this and why?

One aspect of CPEC that caught my attention was the unchallenged acceptance of Chinese labor and managers being used across all projects connected with this project.  Given that few non-Chinese entities will be allowed to participate in this effort it is safe to assume that Chinese nationals will be flooding Pakistan.

Couple this infusion with China's plans to cultural sensitization of Pakistanis toward the Chinese and a strange picture seems to emerge.

What if one key objective behind CPEC is settling Uighurs from Xinjian in Pakistan, cleansing Chinese territories of Muslim influence and transferring the headache to a pliant and subservient ally i.e. use CPEC to employ 'Chinese' Uighurs as laborers and then leave them in Pakistan.

And what if Burma (a long time Chinese ally) has done the same with Rohingas?  Drive them out and with help from Indian collaborators  settle them in Jammu to create a demographic shift within J&K so that a contiguous Muslim region can be built as a buffer between India and China - the new Great (Muslim) Wall of China.

Yes I'm clutching at straws.  But nothing is beyond the realm when it comes to Chinese machinations. 

Pakis-Naxals - The Real China-Pakistan Corridor

Mutilation of Indian soldiers and Naxal attack on CRPF are seemingly unconnected events.  100s of kms apart, executed by very different protagonists albeit with a similar objection - Destruction of India. 

But make no mistake the Dragon and his bitch are working in tandem anticipating and desperately trying to preempt a major initiative by the Modi Govt. in the not too distant future. 

Over the past year, Pakistani media is abuzz with stories of India's rapid military build up.   The Modi Govt. has not only hasten the pace of long term military infrastructural initiatives across the Indo-China border but much to Pakistan's chagrin, also updated defense acquisition processes to plug vital gaps in India's immediate military preparedness.

Reports indicate that India is preparing to wage a short 2-3 week war against Pakistan to achieve key permanent and long term objectives. 

The primary objectives may be clear (and I shall NOT delve into them here) but the secondary outcomes may deliver much greater long term benefits to India.

A short conflict will allow India to inflict max. damage whilst keeping the conflict below the nuclear threshold.  Moreover, it would prevent world powers from exerting pressure on India to enter into serious negotiations over long standing bilateral disputes. 

Both China and Pakistan recognize that the timing suits India.  China's economy is rapidly slowing down.  In addition, demand for its goods is shrinking the west - its primary (and most lucrative) trading partner.  Devastation of America's retail sector is a leading indicator of the coming Chinese economic slow down (Note: Volume lost via Retail bankruptcies is not translating completely into commensurate online sales)

Pakistan holds barely 5 months of foreign exchange which has prompted its FM to go on his annual 'begging' pilgrimage across the world. 

Pakistan's inventory of vital spare parts is shrinking with PAF forced to cannibalize its own planes to keep their depleted squadrons in fighting shape.  With most (if not all) its assets originating in America, India holds an heretofore unimaginable indirect leverage over Pakistan's ability to sustain an air conflict.

Contrary to reports, Chinese made 'J' fighter jets are no match to India's Sukhois.

It would not take much for India to gain air superiority over Pakistan.  In fact Pakistan would be reluctant to engage any of its air assets lest India permanently cripples Pakistan's ability to deliver nukes (with surface to surface missiles remaining the only option).

Given Pakistan's inability to sustain any meaningful economic growth (currently at < 1%) its ability to pay for state-of-the-art military hardware is highly questionable.  


Delusional Paki 'experts' may argue that Pakistan is no longer considered a pariah state in global capitals, but with each menacing Jihadi attack, Pakistan's image as a global terror state gains even more traction. 

Given these circumstances, no real global power would furnish Pakistan with the neccessary hardware to counter a massive Indian attack. 

Even its all weather friend - China - would think twice before openly supporting Pakistan - unless the conflict escalates and it sees India's position weaken both militarily and diplomatically.

Pakistan and China have understood these factors and are trying to preempt India's coming military actions by using the two low cost options available to them i.e. Jihadis and Naxals. 

Their strategy has the following objective:

1. Keep India preoccupied on the domestic front
2. Raise Indian military's cost of openly taking on Pakistan
3. Forcing India into acting prematurely 
4. Gauging India's response vis-a-vis continued provocations

PM Modi's Zen like silence reminds me of how Michael Corleone in the novel 'The Godfather' ignores and silently suffers every insult and provocation inflicted on him by the Barzini led New York families till the time he's ready to act against them. 

PM Modi is holding fire till he can tie up all the diplomatic loose ends, build India's military so it can handle a two-front conflict and most importantly wait for the timing of global conflicts to reach a point where few would care much if India permanently cripples (if not dismembers) Pakistan.

The time is approaching.  The final solution is near.