Tuesday, October 25, 2016

Why China Needs India more than Pakistan

China is going to great lengths to corner India.  From investing $50 Billion in Pakistan to keeping India out of the NSG, China has adopted a single point agenda to oppose and stop India. 

Though this may seem antagonistic China cannot push India beyond a certain point.  Economically and militarily India is no push over and any war (even a limited one) will hurt Chinese economy at a time when they can ill afford it. 

But beyond India's capability China has a strategic compulsion to prevent India from being irreparably vanquished. 

Imagine the following scenario:

India loses a two front war and has to concede Kashmir to Pakistan or as an independent state. 

The green crescent i.e. Islamic rule from Arabia to Indonesia would be close to fruition.  China would then come face to face with a billion strong muslim Umma right across its West and Southern border. 

India serves as a buffer that bears the brunt of Islamofacism.  Take away this buffer and China will have to deal with a hungry Islamic horde ready to take back Xinjiang across a 1000+ mile stretch of its border.  

America would salivate at the prospect of reactivating old assets in AfPak to do to Beijing what Jihadis did to Moscow in the 80s.

Surely Beijing understands this dynamic.  Their reluctance to push India beyond a point is reflected in their continuing neutrality on the issue of Kashmir.  

No sensible power in the world wants another Islamic state to come into existence.  Much less on its own restive border. 

So folks China will jab and poke at India to defend and extend its economic and military lead but it wont reach for the right upper cut for a decisive KO.

China needs India more than it needs Pakistan.

p.s. Hope Indian strategists have factored in this imperative into their calculations.  The trick lies in not trying to befriend China into working against Pakistan but instead to have the average Pakistani to turn against China. 

 

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