All-in with NaMo-for-PM

NaMo must go All-in

I have been vacilating between the following 2 scenarios:

1.       Should NaMo not put his face on BJP's 2014 battle for Delhi and throw his hat in the ring only if BJP secures 180-200 seats

OR

2. Go all-in and become BJP's face for Delhi from the get go
 

Increasingly, I’m leaning toward scenario #2 with a few caveats.

Here are the reasons:

a)      If we go with scenario #1, BJP may still risk muslim consolidation but not benefit from a counter Hindu-consolidation and end up losing the election.  In this scenario if BJP wins less than 170 seats, NaMo will be blamed and that blame will be used to curtail any future attempts.  Much as his 2009 LS campaign results are held against him - though he was just a campaigner and not the PM candidate - so will results of 2014 be used to hold him back.

b)      NaMo as PM Candidate needs time to percolate to a wider voter base.  Currently urban and semi-urban cities and towns have heard and imbibed the Modi-Miracle but rural populations may have remained relatively untouched.  NaMo-for-PM will need to reach these voters to help create a critical mass of voters to reach the magic figure of 200 seats

c)       NaMo-for-PM will turn into a war cry on both sides of the political divide.  Sangh’s strong ground game will allow BJP to harness this consolidation far better than CONgress or other secular parties

d)      There is a danger of pseudo secular parties joining forces:  Laloo-SP-CONgress-JDU alliance would seem unsurmountable.  But such a consolidation will work in NaMo’s favor.  Corruption will come to be equated with pseudosecularism with NaMo as the sole torch bearer of clean, efficient, politics of development.

Time will reveal efficacy of the best strategy.  For now NaMo-for-PM appears to be the best bet.