Tuesday, May 17, 2016

2019 is NOW! - Part 1

Ladies and Gentlemen, start your engines.

Despite what some Internet Hindus may say, our PM is delivering on every promise he made to us in the run up to 2014.  The timing of deliver may be as they say in India 'plus minus' but make no mistake, he's delivering on every item on our agenda.

Defense, Economy, Infrastructure, Erasing Sonia's evil empire....the battle in on.

As most of us realize, a single 5 year term wont be enough to bring these initiatives to fruition.  For India to be set on an irreversible path to prosperity and global prominence, PM Modi needs a second, equally decisive mandate in 2019.

As we had hoped, our PM and his team are on track to deliver on key promises within the 36 month deadline people like yours truly had suggested when his govt. took office.

http://inflextionpoint.blogspot.com/2014/07/pm-narendra-modi-must-run.html

http://inflextionpoint.blogspot.com/2014/07/pm-narendra-modi-must-run_21.html

Equally important, PM's core supporters and larger pool of voters have come to understand the constraints under which our PM has to operate - http://inflextionpoint.blogspot.com/2014/07/the-pms-dilemma.html

PM Modi has delivered on his promises, it for us, his foot soldiers to now begin preparations for the maha yudh that lies ahead.

Political World cup 2019 is going to make 2014 look like a Ranji trophy league match.

Hyperbole aside, 2019 will see a massive consolidation of opposition parties against team NaMo.  Two key forces are contributing to this trend:

a) The fear of what a second NaMo term would do to India's corrupt political ecosystem
b) The premature demise of Rahul Gandhi's political career

With a likely defeat facing Sonia in Karnataka, 'Congress Mukt Bharat' will have become a virtual reality by late 2017.  A belated realization that Rahul will never amount to much will place Congress between a rock and a hard place.

Switching to Priyanka in 2017 would smack of desperation and dilute their Bramha Shastra.  Moreover, Vadra scandals (intentionally held in reserve by BJP govts.) could be unleashed in a jiffy making life a living hell for Congress' first family.

Given these trends, Congress is likely to become a non-factor in 2019 elections.

The consequent political vacuum will seek a sutradhar.  A leader who can take control of the leadership deficit and meld disparate political forces into a cohesive fighting unit.

This is a tall order even for even the most skilled political strategist.  But an opportunity is certainly emerging and a leader or leaders will most certainly emerge to capture this space.

Both Kejriwal and Nitish have recognized these trends and their desperation to relentlessly target the PM must be viewed through this prism.

Capturing this emerging anti-Modi media space is one way to emerge as the face of anti-BJP opposition forces.

What both Nitish and Kejriwal will have to consider are the Himalayan egos of regional leaders with greater foot print and more potential MPs from their home states.

Mamta and Mulayam are two such names that come to mind.

While a national level opposition alliance may not be possible, localized, regional alliances designed with the sole purpose of defeating BJP should be considered a given.

Add to this factor, a host of non-state actors who will be activated to cause social discord so as to portray PM Modi and the larger Sangh parivar as a Hindu taliban, and we have the makings of a battle for the ages.

2019 should be considered a second 1947.  The year when India gained independence from India's own House Negros (http://inflextionpoint.blogspot.com/2016/03/award-wapsi-intolerance-revolt-of.html)

So friends, we must begin preparing for this coming war, NOW.  Not in 2018.  NOW.

Part 2 - A few strategies

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