How Anna Party helps NaMo.
As long as I have followed NaMo, people have accused me of
being an unabashed supporter. Someone
who views every development as helping the cause of NaMo as PM.
Well….thank you. Once
again this Anna Party will aid NaMo’s cause.
Caveat: A key
assumption is that the Anna Party will take a serious stab at putting up
candidates in a electorially serious pool of LS seats.
Here’s why:
1.
With Anna
playing RajT/Chiranjeevi BJP will be in desperate shape. More importantly, so will regional parties that
rely on middle class urban voters.
a.
Such a development will give internal BJP
candidates and NDA pretenders second thoughts on their prospects
b.
Alternately, given the toss-up, more pretenders
could emerge from the woodwork
2.
Anna’s constituency is the same candle wielding crowd
that marched with their lit candles after 26/11 but showed up with an abysmal
43% voting percentage on D-day just 6 months later
a.
It could be argued that BJP lost this crowd back
in 2004 and these voters have stayed home at every election cycle since. With a clean choice, this crowd may just come
out and vote for Team Anna. But are
their numbers electorally significant.
You cant win much with even 7-8% votes.
b.
BJP’s percentage (sans NaMo as the declared
candidate) is likely to stay at 18% with Anna accruing this floating,
home-sitting vote
c.
More importantly this constituency seems to be those
babe-in-woods, idealists who haven’t lived through (or have chosen to forget) the
betrayals of VP Singh and Pramod Mahajans
d.
Their potential for disappointment is that much
greater
3.
If Anna enters the fray, 2014 may truly end up
as a semi-final. UPA3 would an even
greater mishmash of parties and the loot will grow exponentially
4.
Team Anna’s failure to secure a JL is further
evidence that the political class as a whole is against such a body. Unless Anna party can secure close to a 2/3rd
majority JL will remain a pipe dream
a.
Each passing day sans a JL, will dent Team Anna’s
reputation
b.
Within 6 months of the next LS election, Team
Anna’s support base will dry up
c.
The vixen of corruption will penetrate and
seduce at least one Team Anna member
d.
That will be the last straw
5.
As these factors are playing out India’s economy
and infrastructure will sink to new levels
6.
In comparison Gujarat will attain new heights
under NaMo
7.
India will finally reach that elusive tipping
point
Approximately 4 years back I had started prognosticating
that a time will come when a desperate, disillusioned, despondent India will
march on its hands and knees to NaMo’s doorstep begging him to take over.
Team Anna’s political entry will only expedite that
march.
Thank you Team Anna.
Welcome Prime Minister Narendra Modi.
